Jairam Ramesh the Congress Party’s Coordinator for Election Related Affairs for the Lok Sabha 2009 polls made public a document released earlier in the week by Home Minister Chidambaram on the Congres Party’s pledge on protecting India from Terror.
In his e-mail Mr. Ramesh lists a number of measures taken after the Mumbai 26/11 attacks like the NIA and the UAPA. Mr. Ramesh however fails to mention any measures taken by the UPA between 2004 and November of 2008.
Mr. Ramesh’s email is also conspicuous in its silence on the ill-famed India Pakistan Joint Anti-Terrorism Institutional Mechanism, that was announced by Prime Minister Manmohan Singh after the deadly 7/11 serial train blasts of 2006 in Mumbai.
Mr. Ramesh’s email claims the Congress will not waste a single day in fighting terror while being woefully silent on the period since the scrapping of POTA in 2004 and the deadly attacks in Mumbai in November of 2008.
The document also makes it a point to highlight that “Religious Polarization” is inimical to the fight on terror, a strange comment after having scrapped POTA on grounds of Muslim sensititvities and not replaced it with any new law for 5 years till 26/11.
The document is not short on scoring political points with references to Kargil, Kandahar, Prakram and the allegation that IPS recruitment suffered between 1998 and 2004.
Nevertheless the Congress Party’s promise on Terror must be dissected and analysed for its worthiness. The document is 13 pages long and begins with a Section titled “Context” which interestingly enough carries a tacit admission of guilt by the Congress that the document only lists measures taken after 26/11.
It lays out five tenets as the foundation for the Congress Party’s anti-terror strategy but only talks of preparedness and response to threats after they manifest. The strategy is silent on pre-empting threats before they manifest.
The most significant aspect lacuna in the strategy is it doesnt highlight capabilities needed to eliminate threats that manifest outside the borders of India and capabilities needed to root out sponsors of Terror who are sheltered by sympathetic foreign governments.
The section on Human Assets focuses more on scoring political points against the BJP while explaining little on what was done to rectify IPS recruitment between 2004 and 2009. It only talks of plans to improve recruitment post 2009.
The much maligned 100 day roadmap makes an appearance after complete silence from the Government ever since it was announced. More promises are made on plans to come including review of VVIP security.
The most glaring gap in the section on Human Assets is no talk of how external Intelligence will be revamped to infiltrate networks of terror outside Indian borders. With most Terror in India manifesting outside our borders it is strange that the Congress Party’s strategy is silent on how it will learn of new threats to come and how it will anticipate new modus operandi.
The section on Actionable Intelligence and Cutting edge Analytics sounds more like a commercial for Oracle BI with more talk on Databases like the NATGRID and the CCTNS.
It also curiously includes a treatise on the National ID Card Project. The document makes it a point to say ID Card project was not pursued by NDA but fails to explain what the UPA did for 5 years on the ID Card project.
This section has more technology jargon on what tools the Congress intends to develop to make intelligence actionable but it fails to explain how the Intelligence will be acquired in the first place.
A closer look at the technology jargon used in this section is a must for it sounds more like a listing of Graduate School project topics
Threat Assessment Modeling, Artificial Neural Networks and Three Dimensional Modeling of Critical Infrastructure
Another curious and out of place proposal is a Citizen’s Campaign with no explanation of what it has to do with Actionable Intelligence or Advanced Analytics.
The section on empowered and coordinated Security Agencies is vague on what new Command and Control structures will be in place and how they will be empowered on decision making. The lone exception is the recent decision on the Indian Navy being the nodal authority on Coastal Security.
The second pillar on Rapid Response is again woefully lacking on the National Security Architecture to respond to acts of terror. It instead passes the buck to the States by disposing off the subject with adequate support shall be given to the States.
It goes further to explain how mistakes and lessons from the last terror strike will be addressed like the non-availability of aircraft while demonstrating little imagination on anticipating likely future needs and how they will be provided for.
The Permanent Crisis Management Group (War Room) and a Standard Operating Procedure with a U.S. like color coded threat level scheme are promised for the future. It doesnt however explain how the War Room will be empowered to make decisions within the National Security Architecture with the buck being passed to the States on response to threats.
The rest of the document describes how the Congress will bring Terrorists to justice while failing to explain how it will address the unique problem facing India where the key conspirators and sponsors of Terror reside outside India.
In conclusion it is fair to say that the Congress’ anti-terror strategy rests on dealing with Terror threats on Indian soil after they have manifested rather than pre-empting and preventing them from manifesting before they reach Indian soil.
In fact the entire 13 page document stands out for making zero mention of safe havens for terrorists outside Indian borders in Pakistan and elswewhere which makes this whole exercise highly questionable.
Any credible anti-terror strategy must first begin by articulating the nature of terror threat faced by India.
It must go on to outlining the National Security Architecture needed to deal with that threat before spelling out the different Protocols and Command/Control structures needed to deal with terror threats pre-emptively and after the fact.
It must then specify the necessary tools from a surveillance, intelligence acquisition, analysis and dissemination standpoint to aid in real time decision making
Finally it must outline the legislative framework necessary to bring the terrorists and their sponsors to justice irrespective of where they are.
On all of these counts the Congress Party’s Anti-Terror strategy is woefully inadequate.
In closing it must be said that rather than view National Security wholistically the Congress Party continues to view the Terror threat from the narrow lens of the Union Home Ministry, thus leaving unstated where finally the buck will stop in protecting India from the Terror threat.
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