BSP chief Mayawati pledged on Monday to redouble her efforts to bring in the country’s first Dalit Prime Minister. She was speaking after performing the seventh day ritual for Kanshi Ram according to Buddhist rites. The ceremony became a political platform to declare her the inheritor of the Ambedkar-Kanshi Ram legacy and launch her bid for the PM’s post. Her immediate target is to oust Mulayam Singh and his Samajwadi Party from UP. She indicated that she may contest the UP Assembly elections next year. The BSP has organised a massive rally in Lucknow on October 18 when she will charter a plane to fly his ashes to the UP capital. So as Mayawati sounds the bugle in Uttar Pradesh to cash in on the Kanshi Ram sympathy card, Offstumped previews the fight for Uttar Pradesh and if the BJP stands a chance.
Elections in Uttar Pradesh in a way are a mini-general election with a whopping 403 assembly constituencies spread across 80 Lok Sabha seats. While 17 of the Lok Sabha seats were reserved, UP has about 11 crore voters. In the 2004 Lok Sabha elections UP had a 48% voter turnout. Of the 11 crore voters SC/ST accounted for about 2.3 crores. Of this 2.3 crores only 1.03 crores of the SC/ST voters turned up to vote during the 2004 elections. The turnout especially low amongst SC/ST women. An aggressive Mayawati as she lit Kanshi Ram’s funeral pyre despite being a woman, invoked Kanshi Ram for not differentiating between boys and girls, clearly had her sights on this latent voter base of roughly 70 lakh women SC/ST voters who did not show up to vote in 2004. A segment with the potential for a 13% swing.
Mayawati’s BSP managed to win 19 Lok Sabha seats all in Uttar Pradesh polling approximately 2 crore voters across the country. 15 of these seats were open seats while 4 were reserved. The BSP’s vote share in UP was 24% with a 1.3 crore votes polled in its favor. UP with a 5.6 crore voter turnout is still virgin territory for Mayawati with its historically low turnout amongst SC/ST women. If Mayawati were to only focus her efforts on SC/ST women and improve their turnout by half of those who did not vote last time around, she improves the BSP vote share to a dramatic 30% which contrasted with the BJP’s measly 22% vote share in 2004 and the Congress’ pathetic 12% makes her a compelling challenger to Mulayam Singh Yadav’s SP which managed 30% of the vote share in partnership with Ajit Singh’s RLD. That folks is how this breaks down in Uttar Pradesh.
The question is can Mayawati pull it off on her own and get to the 30% vote share and if so where does this leave the BJP in Uttar Pradesh ?
Offstumped has analyzed the 2002 Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections to get a sense of how the BSP BJP rivalry played out visa-vis the SP. In what appears to be a recurring theme in seat after seat in the 2002 election the SP seems to win whenever there is a nail biting triangular fight between the SP, BSP and the BJP. However when it comes to seats where the BJP or BSP are winning it is most often a straight fight with the SP coming a distant second. What this implies is that a potential BJP, BSP alliance does little to help either the BJP or BSP in the seats they are already winning as the SP is a minor factor in these seats. On the other hand the SP is able to capture power exploiting the bitter fight between the BJP and BSP in seats with a traditional yadav, muslim base. Given this electoral reality, a formal pre-poll BJP-BSP alliance will not be of much help. however a tactical arrangement in choice of seats or candidates could work to either party’s favour.
The BJP’s mascot for UP elections Kalyan Singh is a pale shadow of his former self and has not exactly set the state on fire. Rajnath Singh’s appointment as the BJP president has not made much of a difference. With George Fernandes’ cosying upto Mulayam Singh Yadav, old allegiances are being recast. The Muslim realignment being attempted by Imam Bukhari and the likes of Raj Babbar and VP Singh will further muddy the waters but do little to the BSP and the BJP.
Offstumped Bottomline: In the absence of a resurgence, or bold and fresh leadership the BJP would do well to tactically align with Mayawati while keeping its options open for post poll arrangements in Uttar Pradesh. The under-tapped SC/ST women vote bank is the catchment area they should aim for to recompute the arithmetic. It might not make Mayawati India’ first Dalit Prime Minister yet but it definitely brings Uttar Pradesh back to her for more good than bad. After all a Mayawati under the check and balance of a coalition with BJP is a much better proposition than an unbirdled Mulayam.
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Mayawati will be dalit prime minister of india, when OBC will understand that they are not depending upon bramins.
[...] Ambedkar was it is rather ironic that the loudest of his torchbearers and destiny’s daughter Mayawati is so caught up with installing his statues while throwing in a statue or two for her mentor [...]
[...] Ambedkar was it is rather ironic that the loudest of his torchbearers and destiny’s daughter Mayawati is so caught up with installing his statues while throwing in a statue or two for her mentor [...]
U. P. could have been world’s seventh largest state.It is largest state of India too.What is present position of U. P.? Reason is fractured mandates and opportunistic pre and post alliances laking political stability and consistent continued policies and plans.
Mayawati hardly enjoys any mandate.She has no team and record and connections to rule India.It needs several integrated agts to rule country of Indian size and divercity.Be it defence or Economics or foreign affairs has Mayawati team and think tank? In absence of mandate even top class Vajpeyee to finds it difficult to rule what about Mayawati with 6% votes without team and record and global connections?What shall represent ay Global institutions like U. N. ? It is simply daydreaming and some want to damage Congress by projecting her so as she was helped to be U. P. Chief minister.It is not in interest of nation either with all good wishes for this Dalit kanya.
is p. M.’s chair a musical chair? Ever since Rajiv assassination,there are somany p. m.s.P. V. had virtually packed bags to Hydrabad but all of a sudden he was sworn in.and all unstable govt. compromising and all U turns on timetested policies. Be it resolution to take back pOK or Babri demolition or Opening ties with Isreal.It was virtually two friends P. V vajpeyee and Atal Rao hand in hand. then 2 P. M.s of third Front with all sitaram Chacha an old man in hurry drama.Then wonder of 13 days and finaly dream came true and Atalji took over with all Samata,Mamata and Jailalitha. Govy collapses in 13 months and Kargil gave mandate but Pokhran Bomb becomes Cricket ball and attack on parliment. And now Dr. Singh’s adamance to follow CMP is disturbing CPM.The same is story in most of states. All musical chairs.
In the process country has sdored somany selfgoals and china pak are happy to keep quit as we arw putting our own Lanka on fire only.All planned growth til 1991 is washed away with such musical chairs.We have lost all our strategic,human, Militery,Economic ,diolomatic assets one by one.
Let us not float such Baloons as Mayawati neither has mandate nor allies.Let us think seriously of political stabiity to restore our planning going with consistency.750 M. P and MLa are believed to be Criminals?
In the attempt of bJP to have Aryawart and not Bharatwarsha,now not only Muslims have united Globally but Dalit Muslim alliance under Mayawati is taking concrete shape.Internationalised Islam and communista have now joined hands too and are nomore taboos to eachothers.China foreign minister has last week visited Pakistan and endorsed Pakistan’s nuclear programme and offered all fDI in Pakistan too.More importantly,the china Foreign minister then visits Bangaladesh and endorses need of nuclear enrichment in dhakka too.china has already supplied small reactors to Pakistan to enable pakistan to have 50 bombs material.Pluse proliferation among China,Pakistan,N. Korea has made Pakistan uclear arsenal most advanced too.It seems that China is preparing to engage Advani led govy. from all sides as USA has shown door to BJP lead India everywhere and is just discussing Nuclear Deal for 10 years after Enron and tarapur.
on such backgrounds internationalised Islam shall vote to Mayawati to avoid BJP or Congress going closer to uSA again and China pakistan shall ensure that.
Better Advaniji makes his stand clear on 3 contravercial issues of Opposing Article 370,Uniform civil code and Mandir issue.He also better make bJP’s stand on timetested foreign policy of India clear before sworn in as P. M.He has o age to his side nor has any tall successor nor BJP has more than 10% mandate nor even uSA is its friend in need is friend in deed.
Pakistan shall be happy to see Mayawati as P. m. so also china.This selfgoal by india shall relieve them as it is a fact that after BJP nuclarised the region both Pak and China are on alert.
One can remember how Dr. singh was sitting with both President bush and Putin in joint press conference and fluiently ansewering all types of bouncers and googlis of international journalists.What about mayawati?Is it a joke?Economics,Foreign affairs,internal Law and order and Millitery affairs?Not only p. M. of India must be most honest integrated well read well experienced,clear minded but he must be able to maintain unity and integrity of diverse India too.He must be with mandate and support of all sections.His party must have record,image ,global connections,team and knowhows of governance.
Planning,leading and controlling Country like india needs cadre based mandate to an organization.just by highjackong Parliament with opportunistic,powerhungry and unethical alliances shall push country back and back.
When Gorbachev could not manage unity of uSSR,he approached to margarate thacher for guidence.thacher refered india to him.India was unique example of Secularist pluralizam with nanaligned foreign affairs with growth with hands and not for few with such compromises with sovereignty as at present is.
Really political wisdom of Indian leaders now is on test now.overambitious leaders must introspect whether they can manage it all without mandate,team,image,connections,records and programmes.
Yes sure in coming time india has need of bahanji
rule. It should change indaia.
one should not consider about religion
she did a lot ,she should become pm .Iam very small
she only brought l&order in up
she should become pm
i really appreciate her bcoz she stands bcoz of her
work
she really deserve the same
i know if here is God one day definetely she will
become a pm, if not then also she will help poor
plz help us by giving her a power
anil sharma
noida power company ltd.
9891701262
[...] has a pan-Indian ambition or vision for her role in politics including that ultimate achievement – first Dalit Prime Minister, that too a woman at [...]
Rajiv Gandhi’s was last govt. with political stability both internally and externally.
But for last 20 years it is like Mohommad bin Tughalak doing dravidi Pranayam after consuming bhang or wine political affairs in country with all selfgoals and runouts and hit wickets one after another.why shall pakistan and China need to score goals or take wickets?Pakistan is fooling america and Musharraf is real boss with allweathered friend china jointly d prepariong for comming BJP ruled india.Pakistan Bangaladesh are reunified and Pakistan Afganistan are virtually unified though Karzai and Musharraf drama is fooling uSA.
Indian strategic assets including economical ,millitery,hRD,political assets are vanishing day by day due to such mohommad Bin Tughalaki type Dravidi Pranayam or bhangada at delhi for last 20 years.
Let us hope sense prevails and Indian voters and intelligent voters especially youth thinks seriously and ends this political bhangada before it is too late now.This region has 50 crores Muslim and 85 crores Hindus.India and Pakistan have wasted huge on kashmir sofar.Pluse now communal ajendas are feeding on each others endlessly and deadly too.Is such ajendas part of problem or part of solution? Will indian leaders and intelligent youth think seriously.60% population in this region is born after 1985 and life and property and opportunities are more necessary for them.Senior leaders too should think of making it endless for generations now.2009 elections in india shall set ajenda for future really as glass is half empty and half full. Let us make it full of peace to go for economics and internal stability and peace is tool of it.otherwise naxalizam is already with parallel administration in 150 districts in country as where is political stability in country in last 20 years with several horses in several direction with opportunistic and unprincipled power oriented alliances with momey for politics and politics for money and 750 MLAs and MPs hardcore criminals.
Yes,Mayawati could be next Prime minister of India.Because
she having ability to come all the community together.If we are divide in many caste,We cant develop.So it is necessary to become a Prime Minister of Mayawati.
There are reports that mayawati is in touch with chandrababu Naidu to revive UNPA post s. P. joining UPA.
Personally i never thought so much of Mayawati’s political prudence after her think tank of kanshiram died.but this brillient Dalitkanya has not only survived but has got blank Cheque of U. P. the largest state for 5 more years.
She can rule u. P. only with such participation in national Stream in secular company as Law and order is maintained only when Politics is not communally polarised and foreign policy is not communalised too.
Mayawati should control her ambition and first rule this biggest state effectively. she in uNPA shall make it biggest force both in south and North and East and West than she in nDA openly or tacitly. Now even another shrued lady Jaylalitha too shall join UNPA along with L. F. and then it shall be do or die fight of congress and BJP in gujrat,M. P. Chhatisgarh,Maharashtra karnataka with over 200 seats.
Good Polarisation for healthy secular politics of Country.
Meeting between Mayawati and Prakash karat is historic like Gandhiji and Ambedkar at pune.
Mayawati has consolidated over her Minority votes as not only minority is antiamerica but L. F. in Bengal is darling of Minority too.In Bengal L. F. wins on Minority and Dalit combination as both feel secured under L. F. And Mayawati too has same formulae as in U. P. it is 17 % each.
This development has made UNPA a great platform as in Andhra and T. Nadu it shall be decissive swing with mayawati nearing UNPA.UNPA now will field candidates on all 542 and it shall be solid force post poll now.Thearotically next Loksabha with such massive polarization of S. P. in UPA and BSP in UNPA shall see 30 each of S. P. and BSP,20 eaeh of TDP and AIADMK,20 each of RJD and JD(u) ,20 of dMK etc. But as NCP has not taken firm stand and as MUnde and Uddhav are aggressive and Congress and NCP have uncomfortable alliance,NCP shall be 10 M> P. and perhaps sena BJP to win state polls too if NCP still regards Congress as enemy no 1.
Any way now this massive polarization has made Regional parties again important.
L. F. calls it a class while BSP calls it as caste but it is common block.already at present L. F. has swept Bengal assembly polls with 50% votes and BSP has swept U. P. bypolls and now both joining hands means great arithmatic and chemistry and both shall emerge with 100 m. P together atleast now.Pluse UNPA if joined By Jaylalitha it shall be strongest block of 150+ now with Chandrababu and Jaylalitha.UPA shall be 200+ if as usual Pawar plays double cross with Congress. but if sense prevails and Pawar is genuine in alliance,UPA shall be 225+ again.It is up to Pawar as all shall be with 20+ and NCP cannot be addomodated in Sena BjP both pre and post polls pluse now both Munde and Uddhav are decissive and Congress and Congressmen are doubtful too.
At present It is really observed that govt has become highly corrupted.
It seems with Mayawati as PM , corruption level may reduce.
http://www.sevenfon.com
mayawati will be a dalit prime minister one day. She is paying tax more than the other political leaders. She will be supporitng OBC, SC, ST, Bramins and Muslims. She will manage india properly, otherwise india will be finished. All leaders are making money and down the country in the gutter. Mayawati administation is very good. In general election, congress will be down, BJP will be down and SP will be down. Mayavati and her friends will get 272 seats. BSP will get 100 seats onwards.
Today in an era where dictators are parading nymph
like waifs,there is one pebble serving the nation
with strong hope,She is the lady of principles
she should become the PM
One day definitely she will serve the nation as the
PM.She is the only candidate who deserve rest should
be deleted from indian politics ,i think u can understand to who i am refering.
May god my dream come true 2 see sister mayawati
as prime minister of india
Anil sharma
noida power company ltd
H-block commercial complex
Alpha-2
tel=9891701262
0120-2326559
0120-2326560
Dear Sir
jai Bhim
With 5 to 10 year Bahanji as PM of india.
vijendra singh
mayawati will be dalit prime minster at a latter years. She is doing social engineering. Nobody will stop to become a pm of india. India is made for only OBC, SC, ST & minorites and not for bramins and baniya, they are trators.
The US has did it will India do it too? Barak Obama has finally become the first African American to be the US President. The most powerful democracy in the world took 350 years from trading slaves to making an African American a president. Practically every Indian supported Obama’s cause. Will they vote for Mayawati too? May be the answer is NO. Indians are the most racist people on the planet, To preach is easy but to practice is very tough. To support a member of a downtrodden community thousands of miles away makes sense, but to do that at home will definitely create problems. What if tomorrow a dalit youth sits in front of us having son in law aspirations? Lets see for how many more years my statements remain true. I will be the happiest person in the world the day these turn false.
It is quite unlikely that Manmohan will return as PM after the election.
The next person to be PM will be the 15th one.Besides,election is for the 15th lok sabha.
Third Front leaders are meeting Mayawati on 15th.
Mayawati was born on 15th.
India has so far got 14 prime ministers.But,so far, none with birth number 3 or 6 has become the PM.
Another important prime ministerial aspirant is Pawar,whose birth number is 3.
Will the jinx of number 3 or 6 be nullified this time and one whose birth number is 3/6 be sworn in as PM?
If so,Mayawati has more chances.Since her birth number is 6 she is influenced by numbers 3,6 and 9.
As the birth number is 6,Mayawati is influenced by numbers 3,6 and 9.At the first time,she was sworn in as chief minister onJune 3.For the second time,it was on March 21(2+1=3).For the 3rd time,it was on May 3.At
the time of becoming CM for the 4th time she was 51 years old.
My best political prediction based on numerology was about the outcome of 13th lok sabha election.That was published in THE NEW INDIAN EXPRESS DAILY dated May 17,1999.Please read:-
NO 13 lucky for Atalji!
Kochi:The number 13 has scared the life out of many.But it seems to have a saving grace as far as Prime Minister Atalji is concerned.This interesting find comes from Mr MK Damodaran who is passionately involved with numerology.His studies into the science of numbers have proved that 13 is not unfortunate for Atal Behari Vajpayee.Here are a few of his findings:
At present even communist mouthpieces are saying that number 13 is unfortunate for Prime Minister Vajpayee.”Vajpayee was Prime Minister for 13 days and 13 months respectively.So,13 is unlucky for him!Oh God!What on earth have the communists and rationalists to do with an occult subject like numerology”,asks Mr Damodaran.
According to numerology,13 is not at all an unfortunate number.The belief on the cotrary is is rooted somewhere else.As for Vajpayee,13 is a fortunate and highly powerful number.
Vajpayee was born on December 25,1924.So his birth number is 7(2+5=7).Those born on 7,16 and 25 carry the birth number 7.
According to numerology,numbers 1,2,4 and 7 are fortunate for those with birth number 7.”But from my research I have found that some times lucky numbers turn out to be unlucky also.However,the chances of ill-luck is comparitively less.”
“I have found that mental power can be strengthened by by strictly adhering to lucky numbers”,continuesMr Damodaran.
In the case of Vajpayee,numbers 1,2,4 and 7 have played prominent role his life.
1)Firstly he became Prime Minister on May 16,1996.Both the date and year represent number 7,since they add up to 7.
1+6=7.
1+9+9+6=25,2+5=7.
2)Then he was the 10th Prime Minister-adds up to 1(1+0=1).
3)He ruled for 13 days-adds up to 4(1+3=4)
4)He resigned on May 28-adds up to 1(2+8=10,1+0=1)
5)Secondly he became Prime Minister on March 19(1+9=10,1+0=1)
6)Then he was the 13th Prime Minister
7)He ruled for 13 months with 13 parties.
8)He lost power in April-the 4th month
9)He was voted out by 1 vote
10)He under took the historic Lahore trip on February 20,1999.
The date adds up to 2(2+0=2).February is the 2nd month.1999 adds up to 1(1+9+9+9=28,2+8=10,1+0=1).
11)The number of the name Vajpayee is 28 which adds up to 1.The name AB Vajpayee carries the number 31 which adds up to 4.He is also Known as Atalji which carries the number 11,that adds up to 2.
In short,Vajpayee is highly influenced by numbers 1,2,4 and 7.
Frankly speaking,a prediction in electoral victory or government formation cannot be done by numerology.Of cours,it can be done by expert asrologers.
However,in view of the fact that Vajpayee’s powerful numbers 1,2,4 and 7 are prominently influencing him,certain hints can be got.
1)Election is for the 13th Lok Sabha.Since it adds up to 4 and number 4 is lucky for Vajpayee the coming election is likely to be in his favour.
2)The election year is 1999 which adds up to 1-his lucky number.
3)In the history of Indian democracy,no defeated person who conducted election as caretaker Prime Minister has returned to rule.Vajpayee is likely to “break the record” as the 1st person.
As regards Sonia,her prominent numbers are 3,6,8 and 9.
She was born on December 9.For those born on the 9th of any month,numbers 3,6 and 9 are highly influential.
Sonia’s name number is 17 which adds up to 8(1+7=8).The name Sonia Gandhi carries the number 36 which adds up to 9(3+6=9).To put it briefly,her prominent numbers are 3,6,8 and 9.
She became a widow on May 21 which adds up to 3(2+1=3).At that time she was 44 years old(4+4=8).She became a member of the Congress on May 8.She plunged into politics in 1998-which adds up to 9(1+9+9+8=27,2+7=9).
However the coming election has no considerable influence on her numbers.
Another strong hint is that the possibility of a person from the Nehru family again becoming the Prime Minister of India is rather dim.
Nehru was born in 1889.India saw the end of Nehru dynasty in 1989-that is,100 years after the birth of Nehru.
The Indian National Congress was split in 1969-that is,100 years after the birth of Mahatma.
There is no possibility of the revival of the pre-1969 Congress.The same seems to be the case of another person from the Nehru family heading the government.
Jayalalitha’s birth number is 6.So,numbers 3,6 and 9 are lucky for her.In fact her penchant for number 9 is quite well-known.
It is seen that she lived at house number 36,that at her foster son Sudhakaran’s marriage the bridegroom’s party was led by 27 mounted policemen and that the cultural troupe consisted of 27 members and that at a mass wedding for 1008 brides she presided over,the menu had 18 items(each number adds up to 9).Her party has 18 Mps.
Quite recently,the AIADMK withdrew from the coordination panel on April 9 and Jaya left for New Delhi with a 9-day-mission to topple the Vajpayee government.
Actually,the votes polled against Vajpayee were 270 which adds up to 9.But,alas,within 9 days the dream of an alternative government was also shattered.
(The New Indian Express-May 17,1999)